5 Things: November 4, 2020
1. Oh! What a Night...
Plenty of surprises in last night's results. Vice President Biden appears to have a clearer path to victory after securing the 2nd District in Nebraska. The President would need to hold onto Georgia, North Carolina, and Pennsylvania, and make a surprise pickup in Nevada where he is down half a point or a barrage of late-breaking ballots for Trump in Arizona. Throughout the night and this morning, Arizona's Republican Governor and the Trump campaign have stressed that Arizona is still in play. WSJ called the state for Biden, but Fox News, MSNBC, and CNN have it too close to call.
- Bold and Likely Irresponsible Prediction: Biden: 270, Trump: 268
Republicans are all but certain to hold onto the US Senate. Key pickups in Montana, an unexpectedly strong showing in Maine and Michigan, and thus far holding strong to Kentucky, Georgia, and South Carolina where Democrats spent close to $ 200,000 million to unseat incumbents.
The most likely outcome is a one-seat pickup for Democrats as late mail-in votes in Michigan propel incumbent Democratic Senator Gary Peters ahead of Republican John James. Democrats have a second pickup opportunity as Georgia heads to a runoff election to fill the seat currently held by Senator Kelly Loeffler, who has advanced to the runoff.
- Prediction at Start of New Congress: + 1 Democrat (52 Republican, 48 Democrats)
The house remains under Democratic control with scores of races too close to call. The blue wave expected by many pollsters never materialized and Republicans are currently net five seats to the positive.
Former Seattle Chamber CEO and Tacoma Mayor, Marilyn Strickland, will be the next congressional representative in the 10th as its current occupant, Denny Heck ascends (or descends depending on your view of the office) to Lt. Governor. The win by Strickland bolsters the more pro-business wing of the Democratic party against the Sanders Socialist wing.
Secretary of State
Republican Incumbent Kim Wyman is holding onto a strong lead with an impressive 40% showing in King County. The race is still close but Wyman is expected to win reelection.
Superintendent of Public Instruction
The close race that many thought might materialize fizzled out as incumbent Chris Reykdal won handily over his challenger Maia Espinoza.
Several races appear too close to call, but Democrats are leading in two districts currently held by Republican incumbents. Republican Steve O'ban in the 28th district of Pierce County is losing to his Democratic Challenger Twina Nobles but a little over 2.5%.
In the 10th District of Island, Skagit, and Whatcom county, Democrats are poised for another pickup with slightly under a 2% lead on the Republican incumbent.
The story is swapped in Southwest Washington where longtime Democratic legislator, Dean Takko, will likely be defeated. And in the hotly contested Democrat on Democrat race in the 5th District of King County, Incumbent Mark Mullet is narrowly trailing his opponent. Results pushed out at 4:00 pm today will show if Mullet is still in the hunt.
- Likely outcome: +1 Democrat
2. Looking Ahead
Economic Forecast Summit
Tuesday, November 17 | 7:30 - 9:00 am
The Bellevue Chamber Economic Forecast Summit, sponsored by Bank of America, is one of the most sought after events of the year. This year, we're going small - so small it will fit on your desktop, tablet, or smartphone. But don't fret, we've got even more of a powerhouse line-up for you and your team to virtually enjoy.
Keynote speaker and Chief Market Strategist for Bank of America, Joe Quinlan, returns to the Economic Forecast Summit to share his candid insights on the global and national economy. In addition to Joe's address, you may choose one of four breakout sessions on a topic of your choosing. Each breakout features regional experts on the top issues as selected by Bellevue Chamber members.
(If you run into difficulty registering, email email@example.com or call us at 425.454.2464.
3. Top of the Class
Bellevue School District's Somerset Elementary was named the top elementary school in the Puget Sound region by the Puget Sound Business Journal. Cherry Crest Elementary (#3) and Medina Elementary (#9) were named in the top ten, and nine other schools were listed on the top 100.
To determine school rankings, PSBJ considered test scores, teacher experience levels, racial and economic diversity, and teacher-student ratios. Schools considered were in King, Snohomish, Pierce, and Kitsap counties.
4. Gearing Up for Rapid Growth
Bellevue Chamber CEO Joe Fain and Bellevue' Director of Community Development Mac Cummins discussed growth issues and strategies in a recent webinar. The pipeline is huge and any perceived slowdowns brought on by the pandemic appear to only delay the inevitable surge in growth by six months to a year.
Read coverage of the virtual event by our media partner, 425 Magazine.
5. Around the City
City Council Listening Sessions
Following the tragic death of George Floyd, citizens across the nation and here locally have been moved to address the continued reality of systemic racism. Mayor Lynne Robinson, with the support of the City Council, has pledged to review police use of force in Bellevue to identify whether any reforms are needed.
Specifically, the city has pledged to:
- Review police use of force policies.
- Engage the community by including a diverse range of input, experiences and stories in the review.
- Report the findings of the review to the community and seek feedback.
- Reform police use of force policies.
As part of the review and engagement phase of the pledge, the City invites you to leave a comment and take a short survey. This input will provide valuable feedback on police use of force policies in response to the national conversation about race and social justice.
Utilities Budget, Q&A Session
Today, November 4 | 12:00 - 1:00 pm
Join City of Bellevue's Utilities Director Nav Otal for a short presentation and Q&A session. Topics will include:
- 2021 - 2022 proposed budget overview
- Key challenges in delivering safe and reliable water
- Infrastructure investment